Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 30.309475 34.500055 39.084453 44.475949 50.648523 57.500967 65.693976
2024-12-29 25.351006 31.041462 37.752059 46.265638 56.803156 69.449207 85.824902
2025-01-05 21.037186 27.492621 35.634131 46.692990 61.382927 80.309490 106.680151
2025-01-12 17.105267 23.730516 32.618667 45.479484 63.724072 88.845183 126.346809
2025-01-19 14.276292 20.940150 30.411360 44.954729 66.908281 99.104405 150.443066
2025-01-26 12.596722 19.480925 29.818498 46.621896 73.549732 115.525393 186.893153
2025-02-02 11.331099 18.422836 29.641779 48.893914 81.562564 135.563876 233.256014
2025-02-09 9.961657 16.967424 28.601750 49.606390 87.218875 152.934461 279.037150
2025-02-16 8.543306 15.191297 26.739719 48.598646 89.760329 165.517739 319.209343
2025-02-23 7.399542 13.702282 25.126641 47.743064 92.421895 178.848210 363.820524
2025-03-02 6.475624 12.460797 23.756042 47.092978 95.356008 193.281056 413.958004
2025-03-09 5.813151 11.606979 22.974585 47.452504 100.377884 212.878292 479.538223
2025-03-16 5.175141 10.720218 22.030009 47.413045 104.804513 232.660938 551.639080
2025-03-23 4.785241 10.280525 21.928810 49.173173 113.590080 264.022237 659.214535
2025-03-30 4.325101 9.614816 21.240152 49.509275 119.235698 289.513776 759.419205
2025-04-06 3.803545 8.727082 19.916732 48.129710 120.520343 304.870004 837.740148
2025-04-13 3.405232 8.056645 18.978121 47.504647 123.582095 325.453392 936.239464
2025-04-20 3.194008 7.796268 18.966946 49.215879 133.142884 365.457374 1102.285394
2025-04-27 3.035481 7.639276 19.183772 51.575609 145.031860 414.794148 1311.517814
2025-05-04 2.809995 7.275393 18.817413 52.293978 152.479844 453.271283 1498.388083
2025-05-11 2.529911 6.723410 17.869436 51.202744 154.398994 475.761473 1639.407871
2025-05-18 2.289948 6.241428 17.032354 50.279189 156.666073 500.017551 1794.686535
2025-05-25 2.085714 5.826131 16.313404 49.577720 159.519276 527.006866 1969.094648